NCAAF Picks

Friday - October 26, 2007 | sportsbook sportsbetting online gambling nfl nba | comment balloon

Indiana vs. Wisconsin (NCAAF) - Oct 27, 2007 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -8.5/-104 Wisconsin Pick Title: NCAAF Free Play - Indiana at Wisconsin
After losing two in a row on the road to Big-10 opponents Illinois and Penn State, Wisconsin got a much needed win last week over Northern Illinois 44-3. This week the Badgers will be looking to avoid a three game conference losing streak when they host the Indiana Hoosiers. Wisconsin has not lost three conference games in a row since 2003. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS overall including 3-2 ATS in Big-10 play.

After starting the season 5-1 SU the Indiana Hoosiers have lost back-to-back games and hope that this game will produce their 6th bowl qualifying victory. The Hoosiers haven’t faired well on the road in the Big-10 as they are only 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference road games and 3-14-1 ATS on the road after scoring 30 points or more.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: INDIANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992. WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. WISCONSIN is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive unders since 1992.

The last two times these two met Wisconsin won by 35 & 17 points. In addition, Wisconsin is a profitable 4-1 ATS in this series at home since 1992. I’m taking Wisconsin in this one

Utah vs. Colorado State (NCAAF) - Oct 27, 2007 5:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -5.5/-105 Utah Pick Title: Saturday College Football Free Winner
Utah has really come on strong since the return of starting quarterback Brian Johnson who was injured in the 1st half of the season opener versus Oregon St. Utah has also improved their rushing attack dramatically over the last few games and continues to play solid defense. Colorado St. has vastly underachieved this season and comes off their first win of the season last week at UNLV. In spite of this the Rams may be playing for a lame duck coach in Sonny Lubick who has worn out his welcome in Fort Collins. Play on Utah minus the points as my college football free selection of the week.
Any conference home underdog of 14.5 or less, that is off their first SU win of the season in game 8 or beyond as a conference away underdog, they covered by 11.5 or more, and is facing a foe with a win percentage of .166 or more is 0-9 SU and ATS since 1980. The favorite has won these game by an average of 22.5 points per game.

USC vs. Oregon (NCAAF) - Oct 27, 2007 3:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 3/-105 USC Pick Title:
Has USC fallen off that much where it now should be an underdog? No chance. The Trojans are getting points for the first time since 2003 when they received three points at Auburn in the season opener which was 58 games ago. USC obviously struggled against Stanford in its loss to the Cardinal as well as close wins against Arizona and Washington. However, even as bad as Notre Dame is, the Trojans looked back in top form last Saturday and top to bottom, still possess one of the best teams in the nation.
Oregon will be playing one of its biggest games in a long time and Autzen Stadium is undeniably one of the toughest venues in college football for the opposition. Yet the Ducks are just 15-16 ATS as home chalk since 2001 while going 31-11 straight up over that span as nothing which is nothing very impressive. The offense has been blowing through their opponents but now the Ducks face a real defensive test as the Trojans come in with the 3rd ranked total defense in the nation.

No team steps up better in big games than USC as it is used to being in the forefront while Oregon failed in its lone opportunity this season at home against California. Oregon ranks second nationally in total offense, averaging 550 yards a game. The Ducks gain an average of 6.94 yards a play while scoring 46.6 ppg, the kind of numbers USC’s offense used to put up. However, the Trojans have allowed 255 yards or fewer in six of their seven games this season.

Mark Sanchez has been named the starter for the Trojans as Josh Davis Booty will rest his broken finger for another week. Sanchez passed for four touchdowns without an interception in USC’s 38-0 win over Notre Dame. The offense got some momentum at just the right time so if winning a shootout is needed, then USC is capable. Oregon comes in with the 67th ranked defense in the country and there is no reason to think it can slow down USC considering it has allowed at least 400 yards in three of the last four games.

The Oregon defense struggled against Washington last Saturday and that helps set up USC in a powerful situation. Play against any team coming off a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being +12.7 ppg. This situation is a perfect 2-0 this season and has won 13 of the last 17 instances. USC gets back into the national championship picture. Play USC Trojans 1.5 Units

Utah vs. Colorado State (NCAAF) - Oct 27, 2007 5:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -5.5/-105 Utah Pick Title:
FREE PICK On UTAH The Utes are much more formidable with their starting QB Brian Johnson back in the lineup. Now, they take on a Colorado State team that won for the first time in 13 games, a win over UNLV last week. B Johnson, who can run and throw, along with tailback Darrell Mack, provide a great one-two punch at the QB/RB positions. Mack has topped 100 yards in four straight games, and is primed for a 5th straight today. UNLV piled up 559 yards of total offense last week. Imagine what this Utah offense will do today. Colorado State just doesn’t have the athletes to keep up. Utah went to Louisville and won and they won at TCU. No reason to think they won’t win by double digits here in this spot.

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